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Pai Gow Poker Cards are war, in disguise of a sport. - Charles Lamb, Essays of Elia (1832) Other Macintosh Casinos You call this one and it's all over, baby. - Scotty Nguyen, during the 1998 World Series of Poker. Down to him and one other player, he said this to his opponent who called, and it was all over. I deposited ?100 and claimed my bonus. I didn't start playing straight away, as I wanted to be sure the bonus was paid. Within 12 hours or so I received an email telling me it had been matched. This is the fallacious step in the argument. If the coin is fair, then by definition the probability of tails must always be .5, never more (or less), and the probability of heads must always be .5, never less (or more). While a run of five heads is only 1 in 32 (0.03125), it is 1 in 32 before the coin is first tossed. After the first four tosses the results are no longer unknown, so they don't count. The probability of five consecutive heads is the same as four successive heads followed by one tails. Tails is no more likely. Each of the two possible outcomes has equal probability no matter how many times the coin has been flipped previously and no matter what the result. Reasoning that it is more likely that the next toss will be a tail than a head due to the past tosses is the fallacy. The fallacy is the idea that a run of luck in the past somehow influences the odds of a bet in the future.
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I've now played in 11 of the casinos and have made a profit in each one. Shown below are the actual profits I've received. When money is received in $'s I've converted the profit figure to ?'s. [edit] The term originally meant a small villa, summerhouse or pavilion built for pleasure, usually on the grounds of a larger Italian villa or palazzo. There are examples of such casinos at Villa Giulia and Villa Farnese. During the 19th century, the term casino came to include other more public buildings where pleasurable activities, including gambling and sports, took place. An example of this type of building is the Newport Casino. Eventually this term in Italian now designates a bordello (also called "casa chiusa" literally "closed house"), while the gambling house is spelled casino with an accent. A random event is less likely to occur because it has not happened for a period of time; [edit]
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